Brazil continues to pose strong competition in global agricultural trade, and 2025 will be no different. With favorable weather and solid market positioning, the conditions are aligning for another strong year for Brazilian crop production and exports. This growing momentum puts added pressure on U.S. producers already facing tight margins and shifting trade dynamics.
Brazil is on track to harvest its second-largest corn crop ever, potentially hitting five billion bushels, according to CONAB, the country’s equivalent of the USDA. The boost comes thanks to timely rainfall in April and May. Ag economist and Brazil native Joanna Colussi explains the significance of reaching this milestone.
The Safrinha, or second corn crop, is the largest of Brazil’s three annual corn harvests. It surpasses both the first and third crops in size and importance. Joanna Colussi says this second crop accounts for a significant share of the country’s overall corn production.
She notes that Brazil’s corn exports are expected to decrease even with higher production.
As global markets shift, Brazil’s changing export dynamics will be closely watched by competitors and buyers alike. The ripple effects could influence pricing, trade flows, and future planting decisions worldwide.
