Weather outlook

by | Jul 27, 2017 | Ohio Country Journal

The wet period continued into July. Rainfall in Ohio the last 30 days has ranged from about 4 to 13 inches. This is 100% to 350% of normal. This will go down as one of the wetter periods on record in Ohio.

You can see the latest rainfall totals at the Ohio River Forecast Center Briefing Page at: http://w2.weather.gov/ohrfc/FloodBriefing

The other big news the last few weeks has been the high dew points and relative humidity in Ohio and surrounding areas. This has resulted in increase fungus risk at many days have seen mean relative humidity above 85%.

Week of July 25 outlook

Temperatures will be near normal this week with near normal rainfall mostly contained in one event about Thursday. New fungus risk will relax some this week with lower dew point levels.

Temperatures: Near normal -1F to +1F

Rainfall: About normal ? 0.50 to 1.50 inches mostly late July 26 into July 27 heavy rain event coming

Relative humidity: Daily average 70 to 80% below 80 to 85% fungus threshold except 85% to 90% July 27

Week of July 31 outlook
Temperatures will remain near normal next week with rainfall generally below normal. Fungus risk will not be as high as in recent weeks.
Temperatures: Near normal -1F to +1F
Rainfall: Below normal ? 0.10-0.50 inches
Relative Humidity: Daily average 70% to 80% below 80% to 85% fungus threshold

August Outlook

Near normal temperatures and not as wet.

Fall Harvest Outlook

Confidence is high we will have above normal temperatures and delayed freeze risk this fall. Wetter than normal soil moisture will mean night time minimum temperatures will be held up some resulting in normal to one or two-week delays in freezing temperatures. Confidence is low in the harvest rainfall outlook. It appears any drying from August into September could be replaced by wetness sometime in October and November.

The latest two week rainfall forecast from the NOAA/NWS/Ohio River Forecast Center can be seen i the attached graphic. Generally 2 to 2.5 inches are forecast on average in Ohio the next 14 to16 days which is not far from normal.